EMC/JNPR? Seems A Long Shot To Me.

In the past week I have read press articles suggesting EMC might be considering an acquisition of Juniper Networks.  It seems today the potential for this deal happening has made its way into the financial markets and is now impacting the stock price of Juniper.  While I can see how the ongoing rift between Cisco and EMC over the past few months (e.g. EMC/VMWare acquisition of Nicira, Cisco’s funding of start-up Insieme, Cisco’s expanded partnership with Citrix etc…) could lead some to conclude that EMC wants to further take it to Cisco by acquiring its primary networking competitor Juniper Networks, I think such a deal is a long shot.  In particular, I think that if EMC wanted to add Ethernet Switching to its Data Center products and move away from Cisco for such products, it would be more practical for them to consider less complicated acquisitions such as Arista, Brocade and others that are smaller in size and more focussed on the Data Center Ethernet Switch market.  Juniper on the other hand derives the majority of its revenues and vast majority of its profits (and likely its current value as a company) from its Service Provider Router business.  Does EMC want to be a Service Provider router vendor?  What would EMC do with the struggling Security business at Juniper?   So while there is always a chance such a deal could happen and the rift between Cisco and EMC moves towards all out war, I just don’t see it happening….